Kurzick/Luxon Border Information Project, Your help collecting info is needed!

In January, the Amazon Basin started a concerted effort to own a town in Factions. Owning a town depends on 2 factors: How much faction our Alliance has and the position of the Kurzick/Luxon Border.

Since we started this push, the Basin has held Breaker Hollow, Bai Paasu Reach, and Eredon Terrace!! However, the amount of time we have held these towns has been brief and the times unpredictible.

I am hoping to collect enough data in this thread to get a better sense of how the Kurzick/Luxon Border moves and when the Basin will own its next town. With enough information, we may even be able to have faction donation spikes when the border is moving in our favor.

According to guildwiki, the border moves every 3 hours. The movement of the border depends on the cumulative results of the Alliance Battles playing during the previous 3 hours.

Here are the towns that can be owned by an Alliance:

ALWAYS owned by a Kurzick Guild
1 House Zu Heltzer - Highest Kurzick Faction
2 Altrumm Ruins - 2nd highest Kurzick Faction
3 Amatz Basin - 3rd highest Kurzick Faction

Towns that can change hands
4 Tanglewood Copse - 4th highest Kurzick Faction or 15th highest Luxon Faction
5 Saint Anjeka's Shrine - 5th highest Kurzick Faction or 14th highest Luxon Faction
6 Lutgardis Conservatory- 6th highest Kurzick Faction or 13th highest Luxon Faction
7 Brauer Academy - 7th highest Kurzick Faction or 12th highest Luxon Faction
8 Vasburg Armory- 8th highest Kurzick Faction or 11th highest Luxon Faction
9 Durheim Archives - 9th highest Kurzick Faction or 10th highest Luxon Faction
10 Harvest Temple - 10th highest Kurzick Faction or 9th highest Luxon Faction
11 Seafarer's Rest - 11th highest Kurzick Faction or 8th highest Luxon Faction
12 Leviathan Pits - 12th highest Kurzick Faction or 7th highest Luxon Faction
13 Eredon Terrace - 13th highest Kurzick Faction or 6th highest Luxon Faction
14 Bai Paasu Reach -14th highest Kurzick Faction or 5th highest Luxon Faction
15 Breaker Hollow - 15th highest Kurzick Faction or 4th highest Luxon Faction

ALWAYS owned by a Luxon Guild
Zos Shivros Channel - 3rd Highest Luxon Faction
Aurios Mines - 2nd highest Luxon Faction
Cavalon - Highest Luxon Faction

What I need from you:
I want to get an idea of
- how quickly the Luxon/Kurzick Border swings back and forth
- how often it reaches the edges (where a Kurzick guild owns Breaker Hollow)
- how much faction is needed to control the top 15 towns

How you can help:
Log onto Guildwars with a character that can see all 15 of the towns that can change hands. Post in this thread the time, date, town requiring the least amount of Kurzick Faction to control (e.g. where the border is at that time), and how much faction was required to own that town.

Here some examples:
03/08/08...12:50PM PDT...Durhiem Archives...5,872,617
03/08/08...01:14PM PDT...Harvest Temple...5,307,602


The Data
03/08/08...12:50PM PST...Durhiem Archives (9)...5,872,617
03/08/08...01:14PM PST...Harvest Temple (10)...5,307,602...border moving in Kurzicks' favor
03/08/08...04:27PM PST...Seafarer's Rest (11)...4,590,225...border moving in Kurzicks' favor
03/08/08...08:20PM PST...Leviathan Pits (12)...4,506,779...border moving in Kurzicks' favor
03/08/08...10:16PM PST...Eredon Terrace (13)...4,294,376...border moving in Kurzicks' favor
.no data
.no data
.no data
March 9: 8-11AM PDT...Leviathan Pits (12)...4,955,224...border moving in Luxon's favor
March 9: 11-2PM PDT...no data
March 9: 2-5PM PDT...Harvest Temple (10)...5,673,753...border moving in Luxon's favor
March 9: 5-8PM PDT...no data
March 9: 8-11PM PDT...Vasburg Armory (...5,944,058...border moving in Luxon's favor
March 9: 11-2AM PDT...Brauer Academy (7)...8,226,932...border moving in Luxon's favor
March 10: 2-5AM PDT....no data
March 10: 5-8AM PDT....no data
March 10: 8-11AM PDT....no data
March 10: 11-2PM PDT....no data
March 10: 2-5PM PDT....no data
March 10: 5-8PM PDT...Saint Anjeka's Shrine (5)...11,832,875...border moving in Kurzick's favor
March 10: 8-11PM PDT...no data
March 10: 11-2AM PDT...no data
March 11: 2-5AM PDT...no data
March 11: 5-8AM PDT...no data
March 11: 11-2PM PDT...no data
March 11: 2-5PM PDT...no data
March 11: 5-8PM PDT...no data
March 11: 8-11PM PDT......Bai Pasu Reach (14)...4,350,739...border moving in Luxon's favor
March 11: 11-2AM PDT...
March 12: 2-5AM PDT....
March 12: 5-8AM PDT....
March 12: 8-11AM PDT....
March 12: 11-2PM PDT....
March 12: 2-5PM PDT....
March 12: 5-8PM PDT...
March 12: 8-11PM PDT...
March 12: 11-2AM PDT...
March 13: 2-5AM PDT...
March 13: 5-8AM PDT...
March 13: 11-2PM PDT...



Time Conversions
2 am. PDT / 5 am. EDT / 9 am. GMT / 10am CET / 8 pm. AEDT / 10pm NZDT
5 am. PDT / 8 am. EDT / 12PM GMT / 1 pm. CET / 11pm AEDT / 1 am. NZDT
8 am. PDT / 11am EDT / 3 pm. GMT / 4 pm. CET / 2 am. AEDT / 4 am. NZDT
11am PDT / 2 pm. EDT / 6 pm. GMT / 7 pm. CET / 5 am. AEDT / 7 am. NZDT
2 pm. PDT / 5 pm. EDT / 9 pm. GMT / 10pm CET / 8 am. AEDT / 10am NZDT
5 pm. PDT / 8 pm. EDT / 12mn GMT / 1 am. CET / 11am AEDT / 1 pm. NZDT
8 pm. PDT / 12pm EDT / 3 am. GMT / 4 am. CET / 2 pm. AEDT / 4 pm. NZDT
11pm PDT / 2 am. EDT / 6 am. GMT / 7 am. CET / 5 pm. AEDT / 7 pm. NZDT



Current Prediction of when the Basin will next own a town
Tuesday 03/15/08 8:00PM PDT...Breaker's Hollow (10% chance of likelihood?) http://www.theamazonbasin.com/gw/forums/index.php?showtopic=9453